War & Weaponization
Ever since people realized that harmful viruses and bacteria could
be artificially spread, we have attempted to apply this knowledge to kill
fellow humans.
Over the centuries
such efforts have met
with, at best, mixed success. Yet technology marches forward, and
over the past few years, a dark threshold has been crossed.
Biology is now the most potent latent force in war.
Theoretically pathogenic agents have always been
the perfect potential weapon: they are
inexpensive, relatively easy to manufacture, and can inflict extremely
high casualties on the enemy. In fact, nothing beats a biological
weapon in pure killing power: the right weapon applied at the
right time can literally annihilate an entire population.
(In fact, history demonstrates that the
unintentional release
of
pathogenic organisms can destroy a nation).
Further, such a weapon has the tremendous side-benefit of not
destroying infrastructure. Valuable buildings and capital are left
intact - it is only the hated enemy themselves who are destroyed.
The conquerer can thus move right in and make use of the enemy's
houses, televisions and recreational vehicles. Who could ask for more?
These weapons also
deliver a potent psychological
element: fear. Fear of disease is fundamental, particularly
disease that manifests itself in a widespread epidemic. Thus the mere
presence of a weaponized disease in the ranks of an army
or populace can create
a extraordinary amount of panic and chaos, far above and beyond the actual
mortality of the sickness itself. Such chaos in the ranks of the
enemy is, itself, militarily useful.
Of course, nothing is ever as easy
as it seems. So despite these compelling advantages, there are
major technical roadblocks to these weapons. Two of
the most important are viability and dispersion.
Living organisms require special loving care. Unlike a nuclear weapon, you
can't simply mount a biological warhead on a missile and fire it.
The organisms in the warhead must be kept in a viable
and infectious state
in order to remain effective. Therefore, basic
environmental parameters such as temperature and
pressure must be carefully controlled. This can be very difficult and
expensive to accomplish, especially in the confines of a deliverable
weapon.
Then there is the problem of delivery.
In practice it is quite difficult to ensure efficient
delivery and dispersion of weaponized organisms. Wind,
humidity and thermal patterns can easily frustrate a weapon.
And then there are even more subtle problems. While devastating, pathogens
require very specific environments and constraints in order to infect.
It is usually not enough simply present the microorganism to the enemy and
then wait for them to die.
The pathogen must be presented in the correct ecological fashion.
Some organisms are stricter than others in this regard, but it
is always the case that the ecological nature and epidemiology of
the disease must be understood before it can be utilized for war.
Unfortunately, over the years all of these technical hurdles have been met and
solved. The ecological nature of pathogens have
been elucidated and those most suitable for
warfare have been selected. Special air-conditioned delivery systems, allowing
biological weapons to be delivered by missile or plane, have been constructed
and deployed. Advanced methods of drying, encapsulation and
aerosolization of pathogens have been perfected, such that they
can be viably delivered to millions of people. The purely
scientific and mechanical issues of weaponization are solved problems.
And this technology is now widely available to any nation with
an interest in developing such weapons.
Yet there are other drawbacks. Perhaps the most elemental one is that
biological weapons are, as we said, biological. Living organisms have
their own agenda and are thus not so easily controlled. A pathogen
that is applied to an opposing army may easily spread to friendly forces
or to a friendly civilian population. Or a military pathogen might
be successfully used, only then to lie latent in a field.
It does little
good to use a biological weapon against a city if that city is
then denied to the attacker, due to the potential for further epidemics.
Of course, this calculus only applies militarily. Terrorists
may not find these issues to be drawbacks. In fact, they might even
be advantages. Even so, given the nature of these weapons, the line
between "terrorism" and "military" is a very fine and perhaps
artificial distinction. As discussed in the
Biological Terrorism
archive, historical application of biological weapons in wartime
has always had a terrorist element. The Japanese use of biological
weapons in World War 2 against China is a case in point.
Going forward, this distinction between military use
and terrorism may be an academic point.
Because of these issues, professional military men have
usually found biological weapons to be unattractive. Not
only are these weapons innately awful in the moral sense, but
they simply do not fit into the classic military mindset of
what constitutes a legitimate weapon. Therefore
their development and use has been denied or delayed on countless
occasions. Unfortunately, there have also been numerous exceptions
to this conservatism.
Despite moral repugnance as well as formal treaties
barring their development, weapons have been developed and
even used. And, as the decades wore on, opposition
to biological weapons has gradually faded away.
Therefore national weaponization programs gradually began to accelerate. A standout
in this area was the Soviet Union. Under their
Biopreparat program
the Soviets pioneered biological weaponization on a truly epic
scale. Some of the coungtry's brightest minds eagerly participated, as
this work was both well-paid and of high status.
Anthrax, smallpox and a host of other agents were engineered into
stable yet deadly forms. Delivery mechanisms were perfected.
ICBMS were loaded and pointed at the enemies of socialism.
And the Soviet Union was not alone.
Many states have similar programs,
although none to date quite as ambitious as Biopreparat. Particularly
among smaller and weaker countries, biological weapons research
and deployment has recently become a top priority.
Such weapons are perceived as great levelers, allowing these weaker countries
to threaten both their neighbors and the world at large with total destruction.
Today we stand at the vanguard of a grim new era.
The treaties banning the development and deployment of biological
weapons are dead letters.
(See the
Treaties And Protocols archive.) The United States has publicly
renounced these treaties and is actively pursuing new
offensive and defensive biological weapons.
A handful of other countries have already developed
horrific capabilities, armed and at
the ready, including weaponized anthrax and smallpox.
Dozens of other nations are busily constructing their own
arsenals. Why shouldn't they? Biological weapons are cheap,
easily deployed, and quite effective. Plus everyone else has them.
Therefore it seems prudent to have such weapons as well.
And it does not stop there.
Genetic engineering
is now actively
harnessed to the cause. Incurable forms of existing pathogens - as
well as completely
artificial organisms
- are already deployed.
Incurable
anthrax,
particularly vicious mutants of
smallpox,
horrific blood
fevers,
and
universally fatal toxins,
all these and more await
their use in the next war.
So we move into an increasingly unstable world, with apocalyptic weapons
spreading like viruses. And yet the world sleeps.
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