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04-11-07

HIV, Emerging Disease

HIV is the classic emerging virus. As mankind's population grows, as the environment degrades, as health systems break down, viruses are presented with new evolutionary opportunities. A few decades ago the ancestor of HIV took such an opportunity and established itself in a human host. Aided by poverty, fast transportation and a breakdown in social traditions, the virus quickly spread worldwide and became a pandemic. AIDS was born.

The epidemic has come in waves. The first wave hit Africa - particularly southern Africa - and remains the most advanced. As of 2003, the epidemic in this region had already dramatically affected population structure and longevity. Economic growth is slowing and the social fabric is beginning to tear, as the burden of so many deaths erodes the structure of these societies. This effect is particularly exaggerated by the fact that AIDS tends to strike young adults in their economic prime.

There are tremendous web resources focused on AIDS. It is by far the most visible of emerging diseases, largely since it has touched the western world in addition to its impact elsewhere. However, given the social and ecological factors driving AIDS, we can expect to see many more emerging diseases of this type in the future. It is probable that some of these coming plagues will be far worse than the AIDS epidemic.

Link: Excellent Site Covering All Aspects Of HIV AIDS
Link: World Bank South Asian HIV Site
Link: CDC: Epidemiology, Evolution and The Future of The HIV/AIDS Pandemic
Link: HIV As A Threat To Economic Development
Link: BBC: HIV Impact on Southern Africa (Swaziland, orphans, family, economic)