Anthrax, 9/11 Attacks
As of early 2003 this event has largely faded from the media
and the public eye. Amidst all the other
geopolitical excitement much has been lost, confused
or otherwise forgotten. So it is probably worth reviewing
the historical facts before presenting any analysis of this matter.
In brief, in October of 2001 the United States realized that it
was under biological attack by unknown terrorists. Here is
the precise sequence of events:
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Sept. 18, 2001
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Trenton, NJ
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Mailing of anthrax letters
to NBC and NY
Post and probably to the National Enquirer.
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Sept. 20
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St. Petersburg, FL
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Mailing of hoax letters to NBC and probably
to NY Post [and National Enquirer?]
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Sept. 21
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Quantico
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Mailing of accusatory letter to Quantico
Marine Base accusing Dr. Asaad, former USAMRIID scientist, as terrorist.
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Sept. 19-25
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NYC
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NBC received and opened ANTHRAX letter (brown
granular sandy); not recognized as dangerous, and not reported by media.
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Oct. 2
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Boca Raton
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Stevens (AMI) checked into hospital, near death,
undiagnosed.
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Oct. 5
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Boca Raton
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Death of first anthrax victim (Stevens, inhalation
anthrax).
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Oct. 5
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St. Petersburg
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Mailing of hoax letters to J.
Miller at NY Times and H. Troxler at St. Petersburg Times.
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Oct. 5-8
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US media
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Suspicion of possible bioterrorism is increasing but mail
not implicated.
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Oct. 6-7
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Boca Raton
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At AMI, spores found in 2nd worker and on Stevens'
computer keyboard.
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Oct. 8
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Boca Raton
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2nd worker (Blanco, mailroom worker) at AMI sick, nasal
spores detected; FBI takes over investigation, seals AMI office. Blanco
later confirmed to have inhalation anthrax.
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Oct. 9
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US media
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Looks like bioterrorism (letters not yet recognized as
source).
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Oct. 9
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St. Petersburg
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Troxler (SP Times) opened hoax letter.
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Oct. 9
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Trenton
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Mailing of anthrax letters to Daschle and
Leahy.
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Oct. 10
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Boca Raton
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3rd AMI worker (2nd in mailroom) tests positive for
anthrax. FBI now conducting criminal investigation. Anthrax strain
appears to be weapons grade
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Oct. 10-12
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US media
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First suspicion that source of anthrax at AMI might
be a letter (not found), since two of those affected work in
mailroom.
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Oct. 12
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NYC
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Miller at NYT opened hoax letter.
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Oct. 12-13
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US media
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First reports of any anthrax of hoax letters to
media.
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Oct. 12
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NYC
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NBC cutaneous anthrax case reported (Brokaw's
Assistant). First symptom was 25 Sept.
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Oct. 13
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NYC
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NBC anthrax letter and hoax letter first reported.
(FBI had ignored NBC hoax letter, opened 25 Sept., until anthrax diagnosed on
12 Oct.) Brokaw's Assistant now recalls seeing a second letter, weeks
earlier, containing a brown, granular substance, most of which was discarded
but letter retained.
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Oct. 13
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Boca Raton
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At least 6 workers at AMI have tested positive for anthrax
and are on antibiotics.
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Oct. 14
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US media
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Copycat hoax letters now appearing.
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Oct. 15
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DC
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Daschle's office opened anthrax letter.
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Oct. 16
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NYC
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Infant who was at ABC office on 28 Sept. has cutaneous
anthrax. No further evidence at ABC, suggests case due to cross-contamination
of mail.
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Oct. 16
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Trenton
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Two postal workers report possible symptoms; by 20 Oct
both diagnosed with inhalation anthrax.
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Oct. 19
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NYC
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NY Post anthrax employee diagnosed with cutaneous anthrax (symptoms
started 22 Sept); letter with anthrax found unopened in mailroom. Employee
remembers opening a similarly-addressed (hoax) letter earlier.
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Oct. 20
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US Media
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First mention that source of anthrax letters is
probably domestic.
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Oct. 21
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DC
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Several DC postal workers may have anthrax. By 25 Oct, two
DC postal workers were dead and two more ill, as well as a State Dept. mail
processer, all with inhalation anthrax.
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Oct. 24
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US media
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Increasing concentration on domestic source for
letters.
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Oct. 31
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NYC
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Dead from inhalation anthrax: Kathy Nguyen, hospital
worker. No source found; presumed cross-contamination of mail, although
clinical observations suggest a large initial dose.
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Nov. 9
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US Media
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FBI released profile of sender of anthrax letters,
implying the source is domestic.
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Nov. 15
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UK
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Mailing of hoax letter to Daschle office in
Capitol.
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Nov. 16
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DC
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Anthrax letter to Leahy found unopened in bag of Congressional
mail held without distribution since Daschle letter received.
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Nov. 16
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CT
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Connecticut
woman dies of inhalation anthrax; source probably cross-contamination of
mail.
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Jan. 03, 2002
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DC
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Daschle's Capitol office opened hoax letter (delay
in receipt due to irradiation of Capitol mail).
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Some other key facts.
1) The anthrax was genetically identified as being the
Ames strain.
All the anthrax came from this strain.
Ames is a very potent variety developed in American germ
labs. This strain has since been distributed to about 20 labs.
It is always possible that other labs in the world may have attained access to it
illicitly. However, to the best of knowledge, this is a specifically
American anthrax.
2) The anthrax was expertly weaponized. Some of the letters contained anthrax
equal in quality to the best
attainable by American labs. More revealingly, the process by which this
quality was attained appears to mirror that used by American bioweaponeers.
Specifically, the anthrax was not milled, used a very particular form of silica and
had a special coating. All of these trains are unique to the state-of-the-art
used by American labs. In contrast, the anthrax
definitely did not use the inferior processes
used by some rogue states, such as Iraq.
3) About 10g of anthrax was used in the attacks.
Weapons scientists and experts testified that it would be extremely difficult
for 10g of anthrax to be stolen from a weapons lab
by outsiders, given the extraordinary
security layers at these labs. However, these same experts testified that it would be
easy for an insider to take a miniscule sample and then grow the anthrax
himself at some other location.
4) Working with anthrax is dangerous. In particular, the process of placing the
spores in an open letter is extremely hazardous. Therefore it is highly probable
that the terrorist had been vaccinated for anthrax. As of 2001 only a
very few people received this vaccine, all of them workers in American labs.
5) A classified report from 1999 discussed the possibility of an anthrax attack
through the mail. In the scenario this report described, 2.5g per letter was
modeled as optimal (assuming anthrax somewhat less potent than American
weaponized anthrax). The actual attacks used more potent anthrax, at 2g
per letter. Thus in general the actual attacks eerily paralleled the model described in
this report. Did the attacker read this report, thus
implying he had a U.S. security clearance?
6) The attacker worked hard to cast suspicion on others. The letters
blamed Islamic terrorists - thus conveniently riding on
the post 9/11 hysteria. Another anonymous letter sent to authorities blamed
an Egyptian scientist recently terminated from a weapons lab. Obviously someone
had close connections to the U.S. system and was working hard to misdirect
attention elsewhere.
From all this five facts can be deduced:
1) The terrorist was an expert. He was also an insider. He was either a member or
had connections within the US biowarfare
community. All the evidence points in this direction.
2) The intent of these attacks were not to kill. If murder had been the intent,
then the best tactic would have been to mail the letters without any enclosed
warnings. Without these warnings far more people would have died.
Those deaths that did occur appear to have been unintentional byproducts
of the means of delivery.
3) The terrorist wished maximum publicity. The choice of high-visibility targets
with powerful media connections was obviously intended to facilitate rapid
and maximum publication of the attacks.
4) Therefore the goal of these attacks was to instill fear - and raise the alarm
of a possibility of a real biological attack. In other words, the
terrorist was a patriot who used these attacks as a way to warn Americans of
the broader dangers they faced.
5) He succeeded. Since the attacks biodefense spending has increased by a
factor of 20. Biological warfare and terrorism has passed from the
realm of science fiction to that of clear and present danger.
As of February 2003 no one has been arrested for these attacks. Further, no
suspects have been named. At one time the FBI
named a Dr. Steven Hatfill
as a "person-of-interest" and has therefore interviewed him and searched his property on
several occasions.
However, no evidence was produced and Hatfill has not been charged with
any crime.
Finally, it is hard to escape the sense that this case presents a
deep dilemma for some. If the perpetrator does turn
out to be an insider, could there be unintended ramifications?
Such as exposing secret American weapons programs? Perhaps
this is one reason why this situation is particularly difficult for
the United States government.
Link:
FAS: Anthrax Attacks, Complete Analysis
Link:
Anthrax Attacks Q&A
Link:
Genetic Evidence In The Anthrax Strains
Link:
Rense: On The Trail of the Anthrax Attack Conspirators (Conspiracy, Overview)
Link:
Anthrax Attack Linked to United States Biological Weapons Plant
Link:
BBC: It Must Be An Insider
Link:
BBC: Anthrax Investigation Stalled
Link:
Monitor.net: Excellent Overview of The Anthrax Case
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